ai governance

Anthropic’s 2028 memo is a policy play about compute, not a product preview

Anthropic’s “2028: Two scenarios for global AI leadership” argues that AI leadership will be shaped by compute, export controls, and model-copying defenses, not just better models. The memo sketches a world where democracies keep a 12–24 month lead — or lose it if controls and adoption stall. For builders and buyers, the real question is how this worldview changes vendor risk, jurisdiction, and access to frontier models.